Chicken Road Productions, an independent French-language publication covering crash games, today published the full results of a one-million-round simulation of crash-game outcomes — together with the complete dataset as a free download and the methodology in full, so that every figure can be reproduced and checked by anyone.

Crash games (such as Chicken Road and Aviator) end each round at a random "bust" multiplier. Using the outcome distribution documented in peer-reviewed research on the game Cash or Crash (University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 2026), the publication simulated 1,000,000 rounds and measured what players actually experience:

- 10.96% of rounds end before a 1.10x multiplier — roughly one round in nine is over almost immediately.
- The median bust multiplier is 1.95x: half of all rounds end below it.
- Cashing out at a fixed 2.00x returned 97.6% of stakes in the simulation, against a 98% theoretical return.
- 9.80% of rounds reach 10.00x, the multiplier most screenshots celebrate.
- Playing 100-round sessions with a disciplined fixed 2.00x cash-out, 56.0% of sessions end in loss.

"Even the most disciplined player loses more than half of their sessions over 100 rounds," the publication's team notes. "That is not an opinion about crash games — it is what a million rounds of the game's own mathematics produce, and we publish the data so nobody has to take our word for it."

The full dataset (CSV), the simulation parameters, and the methodology are available free: https://chickenroadproductions.com/en/crash-games-statistics-2026/

ABOUT: Chicken Road Productions is an independent French-language publication analysing crash games with real data: original simulation research published with open methodology and downloadable datasets, RTP and game-mathematics explainers, provably-fair guides, and responsible-play resources for a French-speaking adult (18+) audience. The site takes no bets and makes no promises of winnings; affiliate partnerships are disclosed.
CONTACT: [email protected]